Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.050248 0.054509 0.058815 0.063485 0.068401 0.073413 0.078905
2025-07-13 0.043242 0.049436 0.055910 0.063154 0.071010 0.079246 0.088508
2025-07-20 0.038274 0.045860 0.054026 0.063413 0.073848 0.085036 0.097883
2025-07-27 0.034806 0.043499 0.053105 0.064405 0.077232 0.091243 0.107606
2025-08-03 0.032308 0.041941 0.052838 0.065917 0.081032 0.097801 0.117661
2025-08-10 0.028135 0.038083 0.049625 0.063778 0.080443 0.099230 0.121795
2025-08-17 0.025402 0.035714 0.047954 0.063248 0.081548 0.102460 0.127879
2025-08-24 0.022994 0.033554 0.046366 0.062663 0.082459 0.105366 0.133512
2025-08-31 0.022000 0.033083 0.046769 0.064424 0.086122 0.111472 0.142876
2025-09-07 0.020849 0.032317 0.046730 0.065581 0.089013 0.116643 0.151142
2025-09-14 0.019627 0.031368 0.046385 0.066297 0.091322 0.121094 0.158546
2025-09-21 0.018307 0.030198 0.045681 0.066495 0.092943 0.124686 0.164911
2025-09-28 0.017721 0.030029 0.046300 0.068426 0.096797 0.131093 0.174813
2025-10-05 0.016234 0.028507 0.045057 0.067896 0.097522 0.133663 0.180081
2025-10-12 0.015130 0.027461 0.044396 0.068078 0.099118 0.137289 0.186637
2025-10-19 0.014401 0.026913 0.044374 0.069075 0.101737 0.142178 0.194752
2025-10-26 0.013914 0.026696 0.044786 0.070638 0.105086 0.147990 0.204031
2025-11-02 0.012257 0.024579 0.042438 0.068385 0.103396 0.147418 0.205359
2025-11-09 0.011246 0.023402 0.041367 0.067824 0.103882 0.149563 0.210049
2025-11-16 0.010299 0.022261 0.040293 0.067208 0.104255 0.151537 0.214512
2025-11-23 0.010087 0.022318 0.040976 0.069053 0.107928 0.157760 0.224359
2025-11-30 0.009721 0.022090 0.041218 0.070265 0.110747 0.162892 0.232848
2025-12-07 0.009261 0.021669 0.041147 0.071014 0.112934 0.167209 0.240317